Japan Seeking US Wheat, Corn for Livestock Feed as Russia Bans

Japan, Asia’s second-largest wheat buyer, is seeking U.S. supplies for
livestock feed after Russia halted exports because of the worst
drought in at least 50 years.

The country buys Russian wheat and barley for feed makers, and imports
milling wheat for bread and cookies exclusively from the U.S., Canada
and Australia, Shirara Shiokawa, director at the grain trade division
of the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries, said today.

Wheat futures in Chicago jumped to a two-year high after Russia, the
third-biggest grower, banned exports of the grain as well as barley
from Aug. 15 to Dec. 31. This will boost demand for grains from the
U.S., the biggest exporter, as Canada and Europe also brace for
reduced production because of adverse weather, said Charlie
Utsunomiya, director at the Tokyo office of U.S. Wheat Associates.

“Asian buyers have already started switching from Russian to U.S.
grains,” Utsunomiya said today by phone. “The U.S. is the last
reliable source of supply in case of emergency.”

Japan imported 58,197 metric tons of feed barley from Russia last
year, or 4.2 percent of its total purchases, according to data from
the Ministry of Finance. Japan also imported 1,463 tons of Russian
feed wheat in 2009, less than 1 percent of total purchases.

Impact Limited

Russia’s export ban will have a limited impact on Japan as its volume
of shipments was far smaller than supplies from other countries,
Utsunomiya said. The Asian country imported 10.6 million tons of corn
for feed use from the U.S. last year, or 96 percent of its total
purchases.

Wheat for December delivery rose as much as 6.5 percent to $8.68 a
bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade, taking gains to 25 percent this
week. It extended a rally on speculation that other countries may
follow Russia’s export ban.

Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin said yesterday that the ban is
“appropriate” to contain domestic prices that gained 19 percent last
week, after drought and record heat forced the government to declare a
state of emergency in 28 crop-producing regions. He proposed that
Kazakhstan and Belarus, Russia’s partners in a customs union, join the
ban.

Japan will “carefully watch the movements” of the grain market, Chief
Cabinet Secretary Yoshito Sengoku told reporters today. The government
controls overseas purchases and domestic sales of wheat to stabilize
supplies.

The agriculture ministry holds import tenders regularly for milling
wheat to be sold to Japan’s 96 flour millers. It will make purchases
“with due consideration” to the market conditions, Shiokawa at the
grain trade division said.

The ministry canceled plans to purchase 70,000 tons of U.S. milling
wheat on Feb. 27, 2008, when Chicago wheat futures surged to a record
$13.495 a bushel.

Yesterday it bought 124,469 tons of U.S. milling wheat in a regular
tender, the lowest amount in five months.

The smaller purchase may be a reaction from some of the Japanese
millers to soaring prices, or a reflection of weaker demand at home,
Masaaki Kadota, executive director at Japan’s Flour Millers
Association, said by phone yesterday.

Source : Bloomberg

Baltic index falls, outlook looks fragile for now

LONDON, Aug 4 (Reuters) – The Baltic Exchange’s main sea freight index
.BADI, which tracks rates to ship dry commodities, fell for a second
day on Wednesday and the outlook was seen as fragile due to slow cargo
business.

Analysts said any gains in the coming weeks were likely to be modest
until demand, which is largely driven by the iron ore market, picks up
in the fourth quarter.

The index, which gauges the cost of shipping commodities including
iron ore, cement, grain, coal and fertiliser, fell 0.36 percent, or 7
points, to 1,957 points.

Prior to Tuesday’s fall the index, known as the BDI, had risen for 12
consecutive sessions.

Brokers said there had been a few more iron ore fixtures, which had
helped support capesize rates on Wednesday.

“There is a little bit more activity on the larger ship sizes,” said
Peter Norfolk, research director at broker FIS. “But it looks pretty
fragile.”

The Baltic’s capesize index .BACI rose 2.48 percent on Wednesday, with
average capesize earnings up to $15,369 a day. Capesizes typically
haul 150,000-tonne cargoes such as iron ore and coal.

Analysts expected conditions in the dry bulk market to remain subdued
in the coming weeks.

The Baltic’s main index has been erratic this year, similar to 2009,
because of swings in Chinese demand for iron ore, the primary
ingredient of steel.

“Into September and October general expectations are that there that
there could be a bit more mineral trade and the U.S. grains season
will start to be a positive impact on demand,” Norfolk told Reuters
Insider television separately.

“So the overall sentiment is for some pick-up in activity.”

The Baltic’s panamax index .BPNI fell 2.18 percent with average daily
earnings falling to $20,947. The supramax index .BASI fell 0.69
percent.

More broadly, industry concerns about the pace of global economic
recovery may hit shipping, given that about 90 percent of the world’s
traded goods by volume are transported by sea.

Euro zone retail trade was flat in June after a rebound in May,
figures released on Wednesday showed, pointing to soft consumer
spending, which may stall the economic recovery. [ID:nLDE6730W2]

“Although the iron ore and steel markets in China have improved over
the past two weeks, along with the BDI, expectations of a sustained
recovery for iron ore and steel are supported by few players,” Arctic
Securities said.

Analysts said freight rates also were expected to be dampened this
year due to the pace at which new ships are set to enter the market in
2010 and 2011, despite indications of some vessel cancellations and
delays.

“We have seen record deliveries of capesize and panamax new vessels so
far this year — they have eclipsed last year’s annual record level
already and we are only just over half-way through the year,” FIS’s
Norfolk said.

“There is still a huge amount of tonnage to be delivered.”

Source : Reuters

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